Monday, December 3, 2007

ICL Decide Against Duckworth-Lewis Method

In the event of any interruptions due to rain, bad light or for other reasons during the forthcoming Indian Cricket League (ICL), the organisers will not follow the Duckworth-Lewis method, Cricket365 has learnt.

A Kerala-based enginner V Jayadevan has devised an exclusive programme, known as the VJD system, for Twenty20 matches based on data from the World Twenty20 Championships and this will be used for the inagural ICL tournament.

"We shall be using it for one year and will observe the difference," an ICL source told C365.

The effort of 44-year-old Yayadevan was hailed by India's greatest batsman Sunil Gavaskar, and the BCCI have also decided to use it during the current season.

Jayadevan, an engineer from Thrissur, has devised a method that claims to be "superior" to the existing Duckworth-Lewis method.

Jayadevan's method is based on a mathematical model of the natural development of an innings through its various stages of settling down, making use of field restrictions, mid stages of stabilising, acceleration towards the end and the final 'slog' overs.

Based on the general scoring pattern and research of past matches, a 'normal' statistical curve has been developed. Regression analysis was carried out using 'spread sheet' software and a cubical polynomial equation was used for determining the scoring pattern.

Putting all this into use, Jayadevan has generated a 'target curve'. He also provides a 'target table' where the revised target can be computed depending on the percentage of total overs that were completed for different percentages of wickets. To make the entire process easy, a computer programme has been devised.

Jayadevan started to work on the VJD System in 1998 and gave it a proper shape in 2001. The D/L method has led the pack for several years, and Jayadevan's system will come under closer scrutiny from the ICC before a decision is made on whether to deploy it.

Source : http://www.cricket365.com/

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